Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28

Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
2 - 1
Clermont

Wahi (61', 72')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Khaoui (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Ajaccio 0-1 Montpellier
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Clermont

All competitions

Last Game: Clermont 0-4 Lens
Sunday, March 12 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Clermont
40.09% ( -1.14)	25.99% ( -0.15)	33.91% ( 1.3)

Both teams to score 53.92% (

0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.57% (

0.94)

50.43% (

-0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.63% (

0.83)

72.36% (

-0.83)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.21% (

-0.17)

24.78% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.64% (

-0.23)

59.36% (

0.24)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.68% (

1.3)

28.31% (

-1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.95% (

1.61)

64.04% (

-1.6)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 40.09%

Clermont 33.91%

Draw 25.99%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Clermont
1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.65% Total : 40.09%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.91%