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Ligue 1

Clermont Foot
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade Gabriel Montpied
Lens logo

Clermont
0 - 4
Lens

FT(HT: 0-3)
Openda (30', 34', 35'), Claude-Maurice (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Clermont

All competitions
Last Game: Toulouse 0-1 Clermont
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-1 Lille
Saturday, March 4 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 14.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.34%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
ClermontDrawLens
14.06% (0.057 0.06)20.7% (0.030000000000001 0.03)65.23% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 46.81% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.01% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)47.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.84% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)70.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.38% (0.073 0.07)45.61% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.58% (0.057000000000002 0.06)81.42% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.07% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)13.92% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.63% (-0.064 -0.06)41.37% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Clermont 14.06%
    Lens 65.23%
    Draw 20.7%
ClermontDrawLens
1-0 @ 4.99% (0.014 0.01)
2-1 @ 3.86% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.96% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 14.06%
1-1 @ 9.83% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 20.7%
0-1 @ 12.52%
0-2 @ 12.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 8.11% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 4% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 65.23%

How you voted: Clermont vs Lens

Clermont
16.7%
Draw
20.8%
Lens
62.5%
24
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 4pm
Lens
2-1
Clermont
Said (60'), Fofana (68')
Abdul Samed (39' og.)
Kyei (42')
Mar 19, 2022 4pm
Lens
3-1
Clermont
Danso (39'), Sotoca (45+3'), Haidara (58')
Haidara (82')
Rashani (9')
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Clermont
2-2
Lens
Magnin (41'), Bayo (65')
Gastien (9'), Ogier (38'), Gastien (62'), Hamel (81'), Gastien (85'), Dossou (86')
Diaby (84')
Gastien (12' og.), Fofana (47')
Danso (15'), Haidara (36'), Clauss (56'), Frankowski (69'), Jean (90+5')
Jan 25, 2020 2pm
Lens
1-1
Clermont
Jean (71')
Doucoure (15'), Cahuzac (32')
Grbic (56')
Gomis (39'), Hountondji (86')
Aug 27, 2019 8.05pm
Second Round
Lens
2-2
Clermont
 Lens win 5-4 on penalties
Sotoca (43'), Mesloub (61' pen.)
Mauricio (86'), Doucoure (90')
Rajot (12'), Gonzalez (48')
Zedadka (45'), Cissokho (85'), Jeannin (86')
Zedadka (95')
rhs 2.0


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