Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Lens had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
| 42.47% ( | 23.57% | 33.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.69% ( | 39.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.36% ( | 61.64% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.13% ( | 18.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.67% ( | 50.33% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77% ( | 22.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.2% ( | 56.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 2-0 @ 6.03% ( 3-1 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 3.46% Total : 42.47% | 1-1 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 6.52% ( 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 3-3 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 3.83% ( 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.96% |