Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30

Apr 8, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Municipal du Ray

Nice
0 - 2
PSG

FT(HT: 0-1)

Messi (26'), Ramos (76')

Reaction

Lionel Messi in action for Paris Saint-Germain on November 2, 2022

Lionel Messi records 1,000th goal involvement, passes Cristiano Ronaldo landmark

Lionel Messi records 1,000th goal involvement and passes Cristiano Ronaldo's European goal landmark in Paris Saint-Germain's 2-0 win over Nice.

Apr 9, 19:16

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Angers 1-1 Nice
Sunday, April 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 0-1 Lyon
Sunday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Nice had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Nice win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Nice	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
28.94% ( -0.1)	23.2% ( -0.02)	47.86% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 61.21% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.12% (

0.04)

39.89% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.75% (

0.04)

62.25% (

-0.04)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.69% (

-0.04)

26.31% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.55% (

-0.06)

61.45% (

0.06)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.06% (

0.06)

16.94% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.99% (

0.1)

47.01% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Nice 28.94%

Paris Saint-Germain 47.86%

Draw 23.2%

Nice	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 28.94%	1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.2%	1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.55% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.71% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.17% Total : 47.86%