Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.27%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 21.58% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.44%) and 3-1 (7%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.