Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.27%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 21.58% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.44%) and 3-1 (7%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
| 58.27% ( | 20.15% ( | 21.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.6% ( | 32.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.97% ( | 54.03% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.93% ( | 11.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.57% ( | 35.43% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.25% ( | 27.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.67% ( | 63.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 3-1 @ 7% ( 1-0 @ 6.76% ( 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 3-2 @ 4.49% ( 4-1 @ 3.85% ( 4-0 @ 3% ( 4-2 @ 2.47% ( 5-1 @ 1.7% ( 5-0 @ 1.32% ( 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 4-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 58.27% | 1-1 @ 8.67% ( 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0-0 @ 3.07% ( 3-3 @ 1.92% ( Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.15% | 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0-1 @ 3.94% ( 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0-2 @ 2.52% ( 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 3.5% Total : 21.58% |