Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 70.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 12.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nantes |
70.19% (![]() | 17.26% (![]() | 12.55% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.35% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.16% (![]() | 35.84% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.08% (![]() | 57.92% (![]() |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.87% (![]() | 9.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.01% (![]() | 30.99% (![]() |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.82% (![]() | 40.18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.18% (![]() | 76.82% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nantes |
2-0 @ 10.51% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.58% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.78% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.39% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.65% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.57% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 3.58% Total : 70.19% | 1-1 @ 8.01% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.26% | 1-2 @ 3.65% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 1.59% Total : 12.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 38 | 12 | 26 | 36 |
2 | Nice | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 32 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Brest | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 25 |
6 | Marseille | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 23 |
8 | Reims | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 23 |
9 | NantesNantes | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 17 |
11 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Metz | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 16 |
13 | Rennes | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 15 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Toulouse | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 13 |
16 | Lorient | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 12 |
17 | Clermont | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 11 |
18 | Lyon | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |