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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Nantes

PSG
4 - 2
Nantes

Messi (12'), Hadjam (17' og.), Pereira (60'), Mbappe (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Blas (31'), Ganago (38')
Hadjam (63'), Girotto (69')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nantes.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paris Saint-Germain could line up for Saturday's Ligue 1 clash with Nantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Lens
Wednesday, March 1 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Nantes

Even with the injury concerns still piling up and their most influential midfielder in Verratti suspended, PSG can take advantage of Nantes' midweek fatigue to warm up for Bayern in the best possible fashion. Ex-PSG boss Kombouare has seen his side lose the rearguard reliability that typified their performances earlier in 2023, so their trip to the capital should be a miserable one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 70.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 12.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
70.19% (0.212 0.21) 17.26% (-0.13 -0.13) 12.55% (-0.084 -0.08)
Both teams to score 54.35% (0.231 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.16% (0.42100000000001 0.42)35.84% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.08% (0.462 0.46)57.92% (-0.463 -0.46)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.87% (0.15600000000001 0.16)9.13% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.01% (0.376 0.38)30.99% (-0.378 -0.38)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.82% (0.15 0.15)40.18% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.18% (0.136 0.14)76.82% (-0.137 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 70.19%
    Nantes 12.55%
    Draw 17.26%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
2-0 @ 10.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.78% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-0 @ 8.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.65% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.02% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.57% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.031 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.4% (0.036 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.19% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.09% (0.033 0.03)
5-2 @ 1% (0.023 0.02)
6-0 @ 0.96% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 70.19%
1-1 @ 8.01% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.67% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 17.26%
1-2 @ 3.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.35% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.53% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 12.55%

How you voted: PSG vs Nantes

Paris Saint-Germain
90.2%
Draw
4.9%
Nantes
4.9%
102
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 8pm
Nantes
0-3
PSG

Pallois (33')
Da Silva (24')
Mbappe (18', 54'), Mendes (68')
Bernat (45+1'), Verratti (50'), Mbappe (58'), Ramos (68')
Jul 31, 2022 7pm
Final
PSG
4-0
Nantes
Messi (22'), Neymar (45+5', 82' pen.), Ramos (57')
Vitinha (16')

Coco (38'), Moutoussamy (75')
Castelletto (81')
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Nantes
3-1
PSG
Kolo (4'), Merlin (15'), Blas (45+5' pen.)
Castelletto (17'), Appiah (45+1')
Neymar (47')
Verratti (38'), Wijnaldum (45+4'), Neymar (50'), Mbappe (83'), Hakimi (90+1'), di Maria (90+2')
Nov 20, 2021 4pm
PSG
3-1
Nantes
Mbappe (2'), Appiah (81' og.), Messi (87')
Verratti (71')
Navas (65')
Kolo (76')
Chirivella (39'), Blas (83')
Mar 14, 2021 8pm
PSG
1-2
Nantes
Draxler (42')
Rafinha (48'), Verratti (67')
Kolo (59'), Simon (71')
Simon (45'), Traore (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco31177758411758
3Brest31168749331656
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens31137114034646
7Marseille31111194738944
8Lyon31135134251-944
9Rennes31119114841742
10Toulouse311010113840-240
11Reims31117133845-740
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3199133444-1036
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3185183251-1929
17Lorient3168173761-2426
18Clermont31510162550-2525


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