Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28

Mar 17, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade de Gerland

Lyon
1 - 1
Nantes

Lacazette (24')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lukeba (2' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 3-3 Lyon
Friday, March 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nantes 2-2 Nice
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Nantes
62.91% ( -1.13)	20.58% ( 0.52)	16.51% ( 0.62)

Both teams to score 53.04% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.3% (

-1.17)

42.69% (

1.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.9% (

-1.18)

65.1% (

1.17)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.04% (

-0.68)

12.96% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.55% (

-1.41)

39.44% (

1.41)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.94% (

0.06)

39.06% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.22% (

0.06)

75.78% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Lyon 62.9%

Nantes 16.51%

Draw 20.58%

Lyon	Draw	Nantes
2-0 @ 10.56% 1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.25% Total : 62.9%	1-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.58%	0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.05% Total : 16.51%