MX23RW : Friday, May 3 19:38:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Strasbourg

Lens
2 - 1
Strasbourg

Frankowski (11'), Medina (65')
Abdul Samed (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gameiro (84')
Bellegarde (22'), Djiku (79'), Perrin (88'), Diallo (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 0-1 Lens
Saturday, April 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 4-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 2 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-0 Strasbourg

Strasbourg have cause problems for Lens in recent meetings and will hope to frustrate their opponents again on Friday as they bid to steer themselves clear of the relegation zone. However, Haise's men have excelled on home soil this term and they should have enough quality in their side to secure a fourth successive Ligue 1 victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 67.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 13.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawStrasbourg
67.18% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06) 19.56% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 13.26% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.3% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.17% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)44.83% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.81% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)67.19% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)12.39% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.74% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)38.26% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.13% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)44.87% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.17% (-0.004999999999999 -0)80.83% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lens 67.17%
    Strasbourg 13.26%
    Draw 19.56%
LensDrawStrasbourg
2-0 @ 12.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.6% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.48% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 67.17%
1-1 @ 9.3% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 19.56%
0-1 @ 4.45% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.73% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.04%
1-3 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 13.26%

How you voted: Lens vs Strasbourg

Lens
85.0%
Draw
6.3%
Strasbourg
8.8%
80
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2023 8pm
Strasbourg
2-2
Lens
Prcic (13'), Gameiro (16')
Perrin (27')
Claude-Maurice (11'), Openda (33')
Onana (4')
Apr 3, 2022 12pm
Strasbourg
1-0
Lens
Ajorque (67' pen.)
Guilbert (5'), Lienard (27'), Aholou (37')

Doucoure (30')
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Lens
0-1
Strasbourg

Doucoure (11'), Kalimuendo (77')
Danso (50')
Ajorque (67')
Djiku (56'), Diallo (63'), Le Marchand (81')
Mar 21, 2021 12pm
Strasbourg
1-2
Lens
Bellegarde (20')
T. (42'), Thomasson (42'), Sissoko (44')
Haidara (5'), Fofana (40')
Bade (19'), Medina (44'), Doucoure (86'), Jean (90'), Leca (90+3')
Jan 9, 2021 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco31177758411758
3Brest31168749331656
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens31137114034646
7Marseille31111194738944
8Lyon31135134251-944
9Rennes31119114841742
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3199133444-1036
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3185183251-1929
17Lorient3168173761-2426
18Clermont31510162550-2525


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