Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30

Apr 7, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
2 - 1
Strasbourg

Frankowski (11'), Medina (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gameiro (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rennes 0-1 Lens
Saturday, April 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Monaco 4-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 2 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 67.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 13.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Strasbourg
67.18% ( -0.06)	19.56% ( 0.03)	13.26% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 48.3% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.17% (

-0.08)

44.83% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.81% (

-0.07)

67.19% (

0.08)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.61% (

-0.04)

12.39% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.74% (

-0.08)

38.26% (

0.08)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.13% (

-0.01)

44.87% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.17% (

-0)

80.83% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Lens 67.17%

Strasbourg 13.26%

Draw 19.56%

Lens	Draw	Strasbourg
2-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 67.17%	1-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.81% Total : 19.56%	0-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.04% 1-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.26% Total : 13.26%