Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Mar 19, 2023 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gerzino Nyamsi 5' goal
  • Habib Diallo 85' goal

Strasbourg vs Auxerre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions
Last game
Mar 12, 2023 7.45pm
Marseille 2 - 2 Strasbourg
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Habib Diallo

Auxerre

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2023 4.00pm
Auxerre 0 - 0 Rennes
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
M'Baye Niang

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result

Strasbourg 47.27% (-0.36)
Draw 25.35% (+0.10)
Auxerre 27.38% (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.8% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.58% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 50.41% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 27.65% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 72.34% (+0.20)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5 78.66% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 21.33% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 45.7% (-0.39)
Under 1.5 54.3% (+0.38)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5 67.13% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 32.87% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 30.56% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 69.44% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Strasbourg 47.27%
Draw 25.34%
Auxerre 27.38%
Strasbourg
1-0 @ 10.83% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.37% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 4.31% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 47.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.05% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.01% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 25.34%
Auxerre
0-1 @ 7.8% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 6.71% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.34% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.49% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.92% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.38%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gaetan Perrin 29' goal
  • yellowcard Jean-Ricner Bellegarde 25'