Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Rennes |
| 25.35% ( | 25.08% ( | 49.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.25% ( | 50.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.35% ( | 72.64% ( |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.3% ( | 34.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.57% ( | 71.43% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.51% ( | 20.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.03% ( | 52.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Auxerre | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 2-1 @ 6.31% ( 2-0 @ 3.98% ( 3-1 @ 2.23% ( 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 3-0 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 25.35% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 11.26% ( 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0-2 @ 8.93% ( 1-3 @ 5% ( 0-3 @ 4.72% ( 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0-4 @ 1.87% ( 2-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 49.56% |