Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 69.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Angers had a probability of 12.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Angers |
69.37% ( -0.16) | 18.56% ( 0.07) | 12.07% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 48.06% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.74% ( -0.07) | 43.26% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.35% ( -0.07) | 65.65% ( 0.07) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.67% ( -0.06) | 11.33% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.99% ( -0.13) | 36.01% ( 0.14) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.21% ( 0.11) | 45.79% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.44% ( 0.09) | 81.56% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Angers |
2-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 3.62% Total : 69.37% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 18.56% | 0-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 12.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | NantesNantes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |