Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lyon
Marseille
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Monaco
Nantes
Nice
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Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Angers

Lens
3 - 0
Angers

Fofana (26'), Openda (30', 46')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Angers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 69.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Angers had a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
LensDrawAngers
69.37% (-0.157 -0.16)18.56% (0.067 0.07)12.07% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.06% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.74% (-0.07 -0.07)43.26% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.35% (-0.07 -0.07)65.65% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.67% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)11.33% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.99% (-0.13399999999999 -0.13)36.01% (0.137 0.14)
Angers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.21% (0.11000000000001 0.11)45.79% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.44% (0.085000000000001 0.09)81.56% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Lens 69.37%
    Angers 12.07%
    Draw 18.56%
LensDrawAngers
2-0 @ 12.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 11.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.86% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.8% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 69.37%
1-1 @ 8.83% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.19% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.75% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 18.56%
0-1 @ 4.05% (0.025 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.45% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.58% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 12.07%

How you voted: Lens vs Angers

Lens
85.4%
Draw
4.9%
Angers
9.8%
41
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 8pm
Angers
1-2
Lens
Blazic (87')
Capelle (77')
Said (21'), Medina (51')
Feb 27, 2022 2pm
Angers
1-2
Lens
Fulgini (49')
Mendy (58'), Cho (60'), Boufal (72')
Cho (69')
Mendy (73' og.), Clauss (76')
Doucoure (31'), Danso (40'), Frankowski (89')
Nov 26, 2021 8pm
Lens
2-2
Angers
Kakuta (48'), Sotoca (55')
Doucoure (57'), Clauss (80')
Boufal (40'), Thomas (70')
Feb 28, 2021 2pm
Angers
2-2
Lens
Diony (5'), Mangani (10' pen.)
Clauss (22'), Kalimuendo (90+2')
Nov 29, 2020 2pm
Lens
1-3
Angers
Kalimuendo (34')
Medina (25'), Sotoca (83')
Pereira Lage (22'), Bahoken (49'), Capelle (90+1')
Manceau (52'), Traore (65')