Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
Apr 23, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Alexandre Lacazette 68' goal
  • goal Cengiz Under 44'
  • goal Malo Gusto 90'+2' (OG)

Lyon vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Last game
Apr 14, 2023 8.00pm
Toulouse 1 - 2 Lyon
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Alexandre Lacazette

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Apr 16, 2023 7.45pm
Marseille 3 - 1 Troyes
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Alexis Sanchez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result

Lyon 34.58% (+0.26)
Draw 25.77% (-0.08)
Marseille 39.64% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.81% (+0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.65% (+0.38)
Under 2.5 49.34% (-0.39)
Over 3.5 28.6% (+0.35)
Under 3.5 71.39% (-0.35)
Over 4.5 13.72% (+0.24)
Under 4.5 86.28% (-0.24)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 72.62% (+0.34)
Under 0.5 27.37% (-0.34)
Over 1.5 37.15% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 62.84% (-0.44)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 75.47% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 24.53% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 41% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 59% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Lyon 34.59%
Draw 25.76%
Marseille 39.64%
Lyon
1-0 @ 8.7% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 7.92% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.64% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.42% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 2.43% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.4% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.11% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 34.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.71% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 5.57% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.13% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.76%
Marseille
0-1 @ 9.44% (-0.13)
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 4.02% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.61% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.41% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 39.64%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Samuel Gigot 43' goal
Ligue 1 Gameweek 35
May 1, 2022 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jorge Sampaoli 28' yellowcard
  • Pau Lopez 57' yellowcard
  • Pape Gueye 71' yellowcard
  • goal Castello Lukeba 55'
  • yellowcard Moussa Dembele 60'
  • goal Moussa Dembele 76'
  • goal Karl Toko Ekambi 88'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 14
Feb 1, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 76' goal
  • Moussa Dembele 89' goal
  • goal Matteo Guendouzi 10'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Feb 28, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Arkadiusz Milik 44' goal
  • Boubacar Kamara 64' yellowcard
  • Dimitri Payet 78' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Gonzalez 81' yellowcard
  • Pape Gueye 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Karl Toko Ekambi 21'
  • yellowcard Lucas Paqueta 42'
  • redcard Lucas Paqueta 71'
  • yellowcard Thiago Mendes 78'
  • yellowcard Memphis Depay 81'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Oct 4, 2020 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Houssem Aouar 28' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Duje Caleta-Car 4'
  • goal Dimitri Payet 16'
  • redcard Dimitri Payet 19'
  • yellowcard Ahmadou Bamba 45'+4'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
Apr 19, 2020 8.00pm
Groupama Stadium