Ligue 1 Gameweek 31
Apr 14, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Zakaria Aboukhlal 37' goal
  • goal Alexandre Lacazette 34'
  • goal Logan Costa 88' (OG)

Toulouse vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Apr 9, 2023 2.00pm
Montpellier 1 - 2 Toulouse
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Thijs Dallinga

Lyon

All competitions
Last game
Apr 9, 2023 12.00pm
Lyon 3 - 1 Rennes
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Alexandre Lacazette

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon in this match.

Result

Toulouse 33.69% (+0.31)
Draw 23.78% (+0.10)
Lyon 42.53% (-0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.62% (-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.6% (-0.39)
Under 2.5 40.4% (+0.39)
Over 3.5 37.23% (-0.40)
Under 3.5 62.78% (+0.40)
Over 4.5 19.96% (-0.31)
Under 4.5 80.04% (+0.31)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 76.35% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 23.66% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 42.25% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 57.76% (+0.02)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 80.71% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 19.29% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 48.96% (-0.55)
Under 1.5 51.04% (+0.55)

Score analysis

Toulouse 33.7%
Draw 23.77%
Lyon 42.53%
Toulouse
2-1 @ 7.8% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 6.58% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 4.74% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.75% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.28% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 33.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.82% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.56% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.77%
Lyon
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 7.51% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 6.18% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.89% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 3.39% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 2.01% (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 42.53%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Oct 7, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tete 2' goal
  • goal Rafael Ratao 67'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Jan 26, 2020 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Groupama Stadium
  • Maxwel Cornet 29' goal
  • Moussa Dembele 71' goal
  • Karl Toko Ekambi 77' goal
  • yellowcard William Vainqueur 46'
Coupe de la Ligue Gameweek 8
Dec 18, 2019 5.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Groupama Stadium (Décines-Charpieu)
  • Bertrand Traore 2' goal
  • Jean Lucas 17' goal
  • Jean Lucas 24' yellowcard
  • Bertrand Traore 53' yellowcard
  • Bertrand Traore 57' goal
  • Martin Terrier 92' goal
  • goal Kouadio Kone 47'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 12
Nov 2, 2019 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Yaya Sanogo 15' goal
  • Mathieu Goncalves 46' yellowcard
  • Anthony Lopes 57' goal
  • Kouadio Kone 82' yellowcard
  • William Vainqueur 84' yellowcard
  • goal Memphis Depay 26'
  • goal Moussa Dembele 67'
  • goal Memphis Depay 95'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2019 4.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Groupama Stadium (Décines-Charpieu)
  • Memphis Depay 10' goal
  • Bertrand Traore 30' goal
  • Nabil Fekir 35' goal
  • Moussa Dembele 67' goal
  • Moussa Dembele 71' goal
  • goal Mathieu Dossevi 15'
  • yellowcard Christopher Jullien 45'
  • yellowcard Yannick Cahuzac 56'
  • redcard Yannick Cahuzac 83'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Jan 16, 2019 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Jimmy Durmaz 12' goal
  • Yannick Cahuzac 45' yellowcard
  • Francois Moubandje 53' yellowcard
  • Jimmy Durmaz 74' goal
  • Christopher Jullien 86' yellowcard
  • Steven Moreira 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oumar Solet 10'
  • yellowcard Memphis Depay 45'
  • goal Moussa Dembele 75'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Morel 78'
  • goal Nabil Fekir 87'