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Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
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Ligue 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Lyon

Toulouse
1 - 2
Lyon

Aboukhlal (37')
Suazo (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lacazette (34' pen.), Costa (88' og.)
Jeffinho (15'), Kumbedi (25'), Lacazette (86'), Mendes (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 Toulouse
Sunday, April 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 3-1 Rennes
Sunday, April 9 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 1-2 Lyon

 This is often a high-scoring fixture, with 25 goals being scored across the previous six meetings between the sides, and both teams have regular goalscorers in their ranks. Lyon have been very strong away from home though, losing just one of their eight on the road in Ligue 1 this calendar year, making them the slight favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon in this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawLyon
33.69% (0.304 0.3) 23.78% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 42.53% (-0.399 -0.4)
Both teams to score 61.62% (-0.258 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.6% (-0.381 -0.38)40.4% (0.384 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.23% (-0.393 -0.39)62.78% (0.395 0.39)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)23.66% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.25% (-0.012 -0.01)57.76% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.71% (-0.32600000000001 -0.33)19.29% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.96% (-0.544 -0.54)51.04% (0.54799999999999 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 33.7%
    Lyon 42.53%
    Draw 23.77%
ToulouseDrawLyon
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.58% (0.114 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.74% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.28% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 33.7%
1-1 @ 10.82% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.56% (0.08 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.51% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.89% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.39% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.01% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 42.53%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Lyon

Toulouse
6.9%
Draw
18.1%
Lyon
75.0%
72
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2022 8pm
Lyon
1-1
Toulouse
Tete (2')
Ratao (67')
Dallinga (4')
Jan 26, 2020 2pm
Lyon
3-0
Toulouse
Cornet (29'), Dembele (71'), Toko Ekambi (77')

Vainqueur (46')
Dec 18, 2019 5.45pm
Round of 16
Lyon
4-1
Toulouse
Traore (2', 57'), Lucas (17'), Terrier (92')
Lucas (24'), Traore (53')
Kone (47')
Nov 2, 2019 7pm
Toulouse
2-3
Lyon
Sanogo (15'), Lopes (57' og.)
Goncalves (46'), Kone (82'), Vainqueur (84')
Depay (26', 95'), Dembele (67')
Mar 3, 2019 4pm
Lyon
5-1
Toulouse
Depay (10'), Traore (30'), Fekir (35' pen.), Dembele (67', 71')
Dossevi (15')
Jullien (45'), Cahuzac (56')
Cahuzac (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1492331171429
3MonacoMonaco1492324121229
4Lille1475224141026
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice146532617923
7Lens146531712523
8Auxerre146262121020
9Reims145452018219
10Toulouse145361516-118
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne144191132-2113
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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