Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31

Apr 14, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadium Municipal

Toulouse
1 - 2
Lyon

Aboukhlal (37')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lacazette (34' pen.), Costa (88' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 Toulouse
Sunday, April 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 3-1 Rennes
Sunday, April 9 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon in this match.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Lyon
33.69% ( 0.3)	23.78% ( 0.1)	42.53% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 61.62% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.6% (

-0.38)

40.4% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.23% (

-0.39)

62.78% (

0.39)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.35% (

-0.01)

23.66% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.25% (

-0.01)

57.76% (

0.02)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.71% (

-0.33)

19.29% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.96% (

-0.54)

51.04% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 33.7%

Lyon 42.53%

Draw 23.77%

Toulouse	Draw	Lyon
2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.7%	1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.77%	1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.29% Total : 42.53%