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Ligue 1

Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 9, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Rennes

Lyon
3 - 1
Rennes

Tolisso (60'), Lacazette (68'), Barcola (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gouiri (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Lyon
Wednesday, April 5 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France

Rennes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 0-1 Lens
Saturday, April 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawRennes
47.21% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)24.37% (0.071999999999999 0.07)28.42% (0.223 0.22)
Both teams to score 56.76% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.42% (-0.182 -0.18)45.58% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.09% (-0.175 -0.17)67.91% (0.17400000000001 0.17)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.59% (-0.194 -0.19)19.41% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.77% (-0.319 -0.32)51.23% (0.319 0.32)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43% (0.064000000000007 0.06)29.57% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.4% (0.079000000000001 0.08)65.6% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 47.21%
    Rennes 28.42%
    Draw 24.37%
LyonDrawRennes
1-0 @ 9.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.71% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 47.21%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.74% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 6.99% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.26% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 28.42%

How you voted: Lyon vs Rennes

Lyon
43.1%
Draw
40.0%
Rennes
16.9%
65
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Rennes
3-2
Lyon
Terrier (38', 77'), Gouiri (47')
Xeka (2')
Lacazette (23', 72')
Mar 13, 2022 4.05pm
Lyon
2-4
Rennes
Traore (59' og.), Dembele (82' pen.)
Mendes (11'), Ndombele (20')
Bourigeaud (11'), Santamaria (13'), Majer (45+1'), Terrier (49')
Truffert (27'), Doku (68'), Gomis (80')
Nov 7, 2021 7.45pm
Rennes
4-1
Lyon
Laborde (45'), Traore (51'), Truffert (76', 83')
Santamaria (25'), Omari (34')
Paqueta (90+2' pen.)
Guimaraes (40'), Slimani (51')
Mar 3, 2021 6pm
Lyon
1-0
Rennes
Aouar (74')
Caqueret (41')

Martin (54'), Grenier (61'), Traore (76')
Jan 9, 2021 8pm
Rennes
2-2
Lyon
Grenier (20'), Bourigeaud (55')
Bourigeaud (87')
Depay (79'), Denayer (82')
Aouar (14'), Paqueta (54')