/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fbrelog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ftoulog.png)
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Steve Mounie
33'
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Jeremy Le Douaron
63'
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Mahdi Camara
84'
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Thijs Dallinga
10'
Brest vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fbrest.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Brest had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Brest win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result
Brest
33.91%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
24.3%
▲
(+0.04)
Toulouse
41.79%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
59.77%
▼
(-0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.16%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 2.5
42.84%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 3.5
34.76%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 3.5
65.24%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 4.5
18.09%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 4.5
81.91%
▲
(+0.14)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5
75.32%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
24.68%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
40.79%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
59.21%
▲
(+0.13)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5
79.36%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
20.65%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
46.79%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 1.5
53.22%
▲
(+0.15)
Score analysis
Brest
33.91%
Draw
24.3%
Toulouse
41.79%
Brest
2-1
@
7.87%
1-0 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 33.91%
1-0 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 33.91%
Draw
1-1
@
11.24%
▲
(+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.3%
2-2 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.3%
Toulouse
1-2
@
8.87%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.04% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 41.79%
0-1 @ 8.04% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 41.79%
