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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Brest logo
Troyes
2 - 2
Brest
Ripart (34'), Lopes (38')
Ripart (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lees-Melou (30'), Del Castillo (74' pen.)
Lees-Melou (90+3')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 2-0 Troyes
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-2 PSG
Saturday, March 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 0-0 Brest

Given the current state of affairs at the bottom end of the Ligue 1 table, we expect Troyes and Brest to produce a cagey encounter on Sunday, with a goalless draw looking like the most probable outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
TroyesDrawBrest
33.86% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 28.47% (0.088999999999999 0.09) 37.67% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.28% (-0.262 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.95% (-0.319 -0.32)60.05% (0.32 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.72% (-0.242 -0.24)80.28% (0.246 0.25)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82% (-0.212 -0.21)33.18% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.21% (-0.236 -0.24)69.79% (0.23699999999999 0.24)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.27% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)30.73% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.01% (-0.202 -0.2)66.99% (0.205 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 33.85%
    Brest 37.67%
    Draw 28.46%
TroyesDrawBrest
1-0 @ 11.24% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.69% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.85%
1-1 @ 13.27% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.19% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.46%
0-1 @ 12.03% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.1% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 37.67%

How you voted: Troyes vs Brest

Troyes
39.0%
Draw
46.3%
Brest
14.6%
41
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Brest
2-1
Troyes
Del Castillo (55' pen.), Mounie (77' pen.)
Chardonnet (60' og.)
Kouame (34')
Feb 13, 2022 2pm
Brest
5-1
Troyes
Satriano (7', 27'), Honorat (49', 67'), Mounie (82')
Agoume (15'), Der Zakarian (66')
Rami (45')
Tardieu (43')
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Troyes
1-1
Brest
Rami (80')
Kabore (13'), Moulin (13')
Honorat (5')
Herelle (22'), Mounie (54')
Jan 12, 2019 2pm
Brest
1-1
Troyes
Autret (38')
Larsonneur (56'), Belaud (71'), Autret (72'), N'Goma (90')
Weber (90')
Mbeumo (51')
Marcel (74'), Obiang (75')
Obiang (90')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
5pm
Fils
Medjedovic
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1393134112330
2Nice138501441029
3MonacoMonaco137332719824
4Lille136521711623
5Reims147252019123
6Lens135441613319
7Brest125341414018
8Le HavreLe Havre133731213-116
9Metz134451520-516
10Rennes133641917215
11NantesNantes134361723-615
12Marseille123541314-114
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier133551718-113
14StrasbourgStrasbourg133461118-713
15Toulouse132651317-412
16Lorient132561724-711
17Clermont13247918-910
18Lyon12147921-127

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