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Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 5, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Monaco

Troyes
2 - 2
Monaco

Kouame (31'), Ugbo (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ben Yedder (80', 83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajaccio 2-1 Troyes
Sunday, February 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 0-3 Nice
Sunday, February 26 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 18.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
TroyesDrawMonaco
18.41% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)21.45% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)60.14% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Both teams to score 54.02% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.69% (0.033000000000001 0.03)43.31% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.3% (0.032000000000004 0.03)65.71% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.8% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)37.2% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.01% (-0.052 -0.05)73.99% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.02% (0.040000000000006 0.04)13.98% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.51% (0.077000000000005 0.08)41.49% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 18.41%
    Monaco 60.13%
    Draw 21.44%
TroyesDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 5.14% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.65% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 18.41%
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.44%
0-1 @ 10.23%
0-2 @ 10.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-3 @ 6.6% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.25% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.23%
1-4 @ 3.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
0-5 @ 1.28% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 60.13%

How you voted: Troyes vs Monaco

Troyes
14.0%
Draw
14.0%
Monaco
72.1%
43
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 6pm
Monaco
2-4
Troyes
Maripan (10'), Fofana (63')
Maripan (21')
Tardieu (22' pen.), Odobert (45+2'), Balde (48'), Salmier (78')
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Monaco
2-1
Troyes
Henrique (19'), Volland (57')
Aguilar (22'), Ben Yedder (71')
Ugbo (39')
Biancone (72'), Kouame (81')
Aug 29, 2021 12pm
Troyes
1-2
Monaco
Aguilar (51' og.)
El Hajjam (68')
Diop (40', 58')
Maripan (28'), Tchouameni (48')
May 19, 2018 8pm
Troyes
0-3
Monaco

Herelle (68')
Lopes (22', 71'), Mboula (90')
Lopes (89')
Dec 9, 2017 7pm
Monaco
3-2
Troyes
Deplagne (70' og.), Carrillo (85', 88')
Glik (21'), Jorge (42'), Fabinho (72'), Falcao (72'), Carrillo (72')
Hyun-Jun (25', 50')
Hyun-Jun (7'), Darbion (64'), Herelle (72')