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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Monaco

Brest
1 - 2
Monaco

FT(HT: 0-1)
Golovin (39'), Boadu (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-3 Monaco
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Brest had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Brest win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Monaco in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Monaco.

Result
BrestDrawMonaco
27.35% (0.382 0.38)23.97% (0.213 0.21)48.67% (-0.594 -0.59)
Both teams to score 57.29% (-0.393 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.49% (-0.673 -0.67)44.5% (0.673 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.12% (-0.655 -0.66)66.87% (0.654 0.65)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.21% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)29.79% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.13% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)65.87% (0.077999999999989 0.08)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6% (-0.488 -0.49)18.4% (0.489 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.46% (-0.837 -0.84)49.54% (0.837 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Brest 27.35%
    Monaco 48.67%
    Draw 23.96%
BrestDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 6.8% (0.067 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.64% (0.179 0.18)
2-0 @ 4.02% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.62% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 27.35%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.157 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 9.51% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-1 @ 9.28% (0.123 0.12)
0-2 @ 7.86% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.37% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.43% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.27% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.88% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 48.67%

How you voted: Brest vs Monaco

Brest
11.8%
Draw
7.4%
Monaco
80.9%
68
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 2pm
May 14, 2022 8pm
Monaco
4-2
Brest
Ben Yedder (44' pen., 51', 54'), Volland (70')
Golovin (45+3'), Volland (62')
Duverne (10'), Belaili (23')
Herelle (45+3'), Der Zakarian (66')
Oct 31, 2021 4pm
Brest
2-0
Monaco
Mounie (18'), Honorat (79')
Magnetti (53')

Henrique (17'), Kovac (34'), Diop (42'), Ben Yedder (81'), Volland (83')
Feb 28, 2021 12pm
Monaco
2-0
Brest
Jovetic (76'), Volland (90')
Maripan (28'), Diatta (85')
Oct 4, 2020 2pm
Brest
1-0
Monaco
Faivre (8')
Belkebla (7'), Mounie (68'), Lasne (77')

Martins (37'), Volland (52'), Biancone (72'), Matsima (84')