Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Brest had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Brest win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Monaco in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Monaco.