MX23RW : Sunday, December 15 03:34:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Lens logo

Toulouse
0 - 1
Lens


Kamanzi (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Openda (33')
Frankowski (60'), Samba (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 1-5 Toulouse
Saturday, April 29 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lens 3-0 Monaco
Saturday, April 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 1-1 Lens

Both teams are in excellent form, which should create a fascinating match on Tuesday evening. Lens are in desperate need of all three points to continue their push for a top-two position, but Toulouse will also be full of confidence, so we have had to settle on a draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawLens
26% (0.184 0.18) 22.56% (0.302 0.3) 51.44% (-0.482 -0.48)
Both teams to score 60.98% (-0.899 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.91% (-1.265 -1.27)39.08% (1.269 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.59% (-1.341 -1.34)61.41% (1.345 1.35)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04% (-0.53399999999999 -0.53)27.96% (0.538 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41% (-0.687 -0.69)63.59% (0.69 0.69)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.64% (-0.613 -0.61)15.36% (0.617 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.87% (-1.164 -1.16)44.13% (1.167 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 26%
    Lens 51.44%
    Draw 22.56%
ToulouseDrawLens
2-1 @ 6.53% (0.056 0.06)
1-0 @ 5.47% (0.242 0.24)
2-0 @ 3.49% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.075 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 26%
1-1 @ 10.25% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.29% (0.252 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 9.6% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.305 0.31)
0-2 @ 7.54% (0.128 0.13)
1-3 @ 6% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-3 @ 4.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.82% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-4 @ 2.81% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-4 @ 2.2% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-5 @ 1.05% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 51.44%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Lens

Toulouse
27.2%
Draw
19.4%
Lens
53.4%
103
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2022 8pm
gameweek 13
Lens
3-0
Toulouse
Openda (60', 86', 90+1')
Haidara (67')
Mar 14, 2015 7pm
Oct 24, 2014 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon147432617925
6Lens156631914524
7Nice146532617923
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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