Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
May 2, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Lois Openda 33'

Toulouse vs Lens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Apr 23, 2023 2.00pm
Lorient 0 - 1 Toulouse
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Thijs Dallinga

Lens

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 8.00pm
Lens 3 - 0 Monaco
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Lois Openda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result

Toulouse 26% (+0.19)
Draw 22.56% (+0.31)
Lens 51.44% (-0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.98% (-0.90)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.91% (-1.27)
Under 2.5 39.08% (+1.27)
Over 3.5 38.59% (-1.35)
Under 3.5 61.41% (+1.35)
Over 4.5 21.02% (-1.07)
Under 4.5 78.98% (+1.08)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 72.04% (-0.54)
Under 0.5 27.96% (+0.54)
Over 1.5 36.41% (-0.69)
Under 1.5 63.59% (+0.69)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5 84.64% (-0.62)
Under 0.5 15.36% (+0.62)
Over 1.5 55.87% (-1.17)
Under 1.5 44.13% (+1.17)

Score analysis

Toulouse 26%
Draw 22.56%
Lens 51.44%
Toulouse
2-1 @ 6.53% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 5.47% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 3.49% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 1.48% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 26%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.25% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 4.29% (+0.26)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.56%
Lens
1-2 @ 9.6% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.04% (+0.31)
0-2 @ 7.54% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 6% (-0.12)
0-3 @ 4.71% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.82% (-0.14)
1-4 @ 2.81% (-0.12)
0-4 @ 2.2% (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.11)
1-5 @ 1.05% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 51.44%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lois Openda 60' goal
  • Lois Openda 86' goal
  • Lois Openda 90'+1' goal
Ligue 1
Mar 14, 2015 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lalaina Nomenjanahary 66' yellowcard
  • Pablo Chavarria 76' goal
  • Loick Landre 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dragos Grigore 67'
Ligue 1
Oct 24, 2014 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Dragos Grigore 90' yellowcard
  • goal Alharbi El Jadeyaoui 11'
  • goal Benjamin Bourigeaud 27'
  • yellowcard Alharbi El Jadeyaoui 58'
  • yellowcard Boubacar Sylla 88'