/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Florilog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ftoulog.png)
Zakaria Aboukhlal
68'
Lorient vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F43%2Fregis-le-bris.JPG)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Toulouse in this match.
Result
Lorient
32.07%
▼
(-0.72)
Draw
25.3%
▼
(-0.15)
Toulouse
42.63%
▲
(+0.87)
Both Teams to Score:
55.66%
▲
(+0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.08%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 2.5
47.92%
▼
(-0.42)
Over 3.5
29.9%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 3.5
70.09%
▼
(-0.39)
Over 4.5
14.6%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 4.5
85.39%
▼
(-0.27)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5
71.74%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 0.5
28.26%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 1.5
36.03%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 1.5
63.97%
▲
(+0.33)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5
77.59%
▲
(+0.60)
Under 0.5
22.41%
▼
(-0.60)
Over 1.5
44.07%
▲
(+0.89)
Under 1.5
55.93%
▼
(-0.89)
Score analysis
Lorient
32.07%
Draw
25.3%
Toulouse
42.63%
Lorient
1-0
@
8%
▼
(-0.20)
2-1 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.07%
2-1 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.07%
Draw
1-1
@
11.97%
▼
(-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.3%
0-0 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.3%
Toulouse
0-1
@
9.47%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.13)
0-3 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.08)
0-4 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.07)
2-4 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 42.63%
1-2 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.13)
0-3 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.08)
0-4 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.07)
2-4 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 42.63%
