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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
Apr 23, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Toulouse
Lorient
0 - 1
Toulouse

Abergel (70'), Meite (78'), Kalulu (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aboukhlal (68')
Sierro (51'), Spierings (90+1')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last Game: Monaco 3-1 Lorient
Sunday, April 16 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Lyon
Friday, April 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-1 Toulouse

 In a mid-table encounter, there may not be much between the two sides, with the added sub-plot of Toulouse's cup final to come next week possibly on their minds. Only one of the last 16 meetings between these sides have seen more than two goals, and this encounter looks set to follow a similar pattern. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Toulouse in this match.

Result
LorientDrawToulouse
32.07% (-0.71899999999999 -0.72) 25.3% (-0.146 -0.15) 42.63% (0.862 0.86)
Both teams to score 55.66% (0.231 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.08% (0.415 0.41)47.92% (-0.418 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.9% (0.381 0.38)70.09% (-0.384 -0.38)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (-0.256 -0.26)28.26% (0.254 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (-0.324 -0.32)63.97% (0.322 0.32)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.59% (0.595 0.59)22.41% (-0.598 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.07% (0.883 0.88)55.93% (-0.886 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 32.07%
    Toulouse 42.63%
    Draw 25.3%
LorientDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 8% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.06% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.07%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 9.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.08% (0.128 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.46% (0.127 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.53% (0.125 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.67% (0.076 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.069 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 42.63%

How you voted: Lorient vs Toulouse

Lorient
61.9%
Draw
28.6%
Toulouse
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 2pm
gameweek 3
Toulouse
2-2
Lorient
Ratao (31'), Dallinga (64')
Dallinga (43'), van den Boomen (72')
Lauriente (2'), Kone (80' pen.)
Le Fee (23')
Oct 31, 2018 8.05pm
Third Round
Toulouse
0-1
Lorient

Sylla (28'), Yago (45')
Bila (74')
Kamissoko (32')
Feb 8, 2017 6pm
Lorient
1-1
Toulouse
Marveaux (60')
Le Goff (26'), Majeed Waris (47')
Delort (24')
Toivonen (71'), Diop (75')
Dec 10, 2016 7pm
Toulouse
3-2
Lorient
Toivonen (8', 20', 60')
Braithwaite (83'), Durmaz (92')
Moukandjo (27'), Waris (90')
Apr 16, 2016 7pm
Lorient
1-1
Toulouse
Toure (91')
Abdullah (78')
Ben Yedder (49')
Trejo (74'), Moubandje (77')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15113138122636
2Nice159511661032
3MonacoMonaco1593331201130
4Lille157621911827
5Brest157441915425
6Marseille156542216623
7Lens156541915423
8Reims157262121023
9NantesNantes155371925-618
10StrasbourgStrasbourg154561420-617
11Le HavreLe Havre153751317-416
12Metz154471523-816
13Rennes153662021-115
14Montpellier HSCMontpellier153661720-314
15Toulouse152761421-713
16Lorient152672029-912
17Clermont15258921-1211
18Lyon152491427-1310
> Ligue 1 Full Table
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