Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31

Apr 16, 2023 at 4.05pm UK

Stade Louis II

Monaco
3 - 1
Lorient

Diatta (14'), Golovin (27'), Volland (55')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kone (86' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 2-2 Monaco
Sunday, April 9 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 0-0 Marseille
Sunday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 65.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 1-0 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Lorient
65.07% ( 0.13)	18.6% ( -0.06)	16.33% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 59.86% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.37% (

0.14)

33.63% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.55% (

0.15)

55.45% (

-0.16)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.26% (

0.07)

9.73% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.59% (

0.16)

32.41% (

-0.16)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.32%

33.68% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.66% (

-0)

70.33%

Score Analysis

Monaco 65.07%

Lorient 16.33%

Draw 18.6%

Monaco	Draw	Lorient
2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.54% Total : 65.07%	1-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 18.6%	1-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 16.33%