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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 16, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Louis II
Lorient logo
Monaco
3 - 1
Lorient
Diatta (14'), Golovin (27'), Volland (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kone (86' pen.)
Silva (25')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 2-2 Monaco
Sunday, April 9 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 0-0 Marseille
Sunday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 3-2 Lorient

Les Monegasques know how to turn it on at this time of the season, and although their defence has been leaky at home, their attacking options are far superior to what Lorient currently possess, and we expect them to do enough on Sunday to collect three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 65.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 1-0 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawLorient
65.07% (0.134 0.13) 18.6% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 16.33% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 59.86% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.37% (0.13500000000001 0.14)33.63% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.55% (0.154 0.15)55.45% (-0.156 -0.16)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.26% (0.066999999999993 0.07)9.73% (-0.068899999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.59% (0.161 0.16)32.41% (-0.163 -0.16)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32%33.68% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70.33%
Score Analysis
    Monaco 65.07%
    Lorient 16.33%
    Draw 18.6%
MonacoDrawLorient
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.9% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.64% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.52% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.91% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.38% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.09% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.02% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.38% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.04% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.87% (0.015 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.11% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 65.07%
1-1 @ 8.31% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 18.6%
1-2 @ 4.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.57% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 16.33%

How you voted: Monaco vs Lorient

Monaco
87.1%
Draw
6.5%
Lorient
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2023 8pm
Lorient
2-2
Monaco
Ouattara (75'), Moffi (77')
Innocent (42')
Embolo (61'), Ben Yedder (90+3')
Henrique (37')
Feb 13, 2022 12pm
Aug 13, 2021 8pm
Lorient
1-0
Monaco
Moffi (31' pen.)
Mendes (52'), Monconduit (56'), Hamel (85')

Jakobs (45'), Volland (90+1')
Feb 14, 2021 12pm
Monaco
2-2
Lorient
Ben Yedder (48' pen., 90+3')
Lecomte (6'), Diop (39'), Tchouameni (45')
Moffi (7' pen., 62')
Mendes (35'), Dreyer (88'), Chalobah (90+1')
Jan 6, 2021 6pm
Lorient
2-5
Monaco
Moffi (31'), Gravillon (67')
Lauriente (34')
Delaplace (48')
Disasi (9'), Golovin (64'), Volland (68'), Diop (78'), Maripan (89')
Sidibe (3'), Martins (6'), Diop (66')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
5pm
Fils
Medjedovic
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1393134112330
2Nice138501441029
3MonacoMonaco137332719824
4Lille136521711623
5Reims147252019123
6Lens135441613319
7Brest125341414018
8Le HavreLe Havre133731213-116
9Metz134451520-516
10Rennes133641917215
11NantesNantes134361723-615
12Marseille123541314-114
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier133551718-113
14StrasbourgStrasbourg133461118-713
15Toulouse132651317-412
16Lorient132561724-711
17Clermont13247918-910
18Lyon12147921-127

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