/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmonlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Florilog_1.png)
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Krepin Diatta
14'
-
Aleksandr Golovin
27'
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Kevin Volland
55'
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Ibrahima Kone
86'
Monaco vs Lorient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F04%2Fphilippe-clement.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 65.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 1-0 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result
Monaco
65.07%
▲
(+0.14)
Draw
18.6%
▼
(-0.07)
Lorient
16.33%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
59.86%
▲
(+0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.37%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 2.5
33.63%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 3.5
44.55%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 3.5
55.45%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 4.5
25.91%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 4.5
74.09%
▼
(-0.14)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5
90.26%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
9.73%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
67.59%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
32.41%
▼
(-0.17)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5
66.32%
Under 0.5
33.68%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
29.66%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
70.33%
Score analysis
Monaco
65.07%
Draw
18.6%
Lorient
16.33%
Monaco
2-1
@
9.68%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 65.07%
2-0 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 65.07%
Draw
1-1
@
8.31%
▼
(-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 18.6%
2-2 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 18.6%
Lorient
1-2
@
4.52%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 16.33%
0-1 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 16.33%
