Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 65.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 1-0 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Lorient |
65.07% (![]() | 18.6% (![]() | 16.33% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.86% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.37% (![]() | 33.63% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.55% (![]() | 55.45% (![]() |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.26% (![]() | 9.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.59% (![]() | 32.41% (![]() |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.32% | 33.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.66% (![]() | 70.33% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Lorient |
2-1 @ 9.68% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.9% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.52% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.91% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 4.54% Total : 65.07% | 1-1 @ 8.31% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.27% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.48% ( ![]() Other @ 0.26% Total : 18.6% | 1-2 @ 4.52% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.64% ( ![]() Other @ 2.74% Total : 16.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 11 | 23 | 30 |
2 | Nice | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Lille | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
5 | Reims | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 23 |
6 | Lens | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Brest | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
8 | Le HavreLe Havre | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 16 |
9 | Metz | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
10 | Rennes | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 15 |
11 | NantesNantes | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 15 |
12 | Marseille | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 14 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
15 | Toulouse | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
16 | Lorient | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Clermont | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 10 |
18 | Lyon | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |