Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.