Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.5%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Monaco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Monaco.
Result | ||
Ajaccio | Draw | Monaco |
24.31% (![]() | 25.79% (![]() | 49.9% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.81% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.67% (![]() | 54.33% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.28% (![]() | 75.72% (![]() |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.42% (![]() | 37.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.64% (![]() | 74.36% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.2% (![]() | 21.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.99% (![]() | 55.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ajaccio | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 8.02% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 1.67% Total : 24.31% | 1-1 @ 12.21% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.19% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.55% ( ![]() Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 12.47% (![]() 0-2 @ 9.5% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.3% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.83% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.72% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.8% ( ![]() Other @ 3.13% Total : 49.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 11 | 23 | 30 |
2 | Nice | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Lille | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
5 | Reims | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 23 |
6 | Lens | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Brest | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
8 | Le HavreLe Havre | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 16 |
9 | Metz | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
10 | Rennes | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 15 |
11 | NantesNantes | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 15 |
12 | Marseille | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 14 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
15 | Toulouse | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
16 | Lorient | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Clermont | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 10 |
18 | Lyon | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |