Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Monaco |
| 41.93% ( | 25.34% ( | 32.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.11% ( | 47.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.93% ( | 70.07% ( |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( | 22.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.59% ( | 56.41% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.17% ( | 27.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.58% ( | 63.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 2-0 @ 6.94% ( 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 4-2 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 41.93% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 1-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.73% |