Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Reims had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Reims win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Reims |
| 47.99% ( | 26.11% | 25.9% |
| Both teams to score 49.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.62% | 54.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.24% ( | 75.76% ( |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( | 22.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.68% ( | 56.32% ( |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.79% ( | 36.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.01% ( | 72.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Reims |
| 1-0 @ 12.18% 2-1 @ 9.18% 2-0 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.92% Total : 47.99% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.34% 1-2 @ 6.29% 0-2 @ 4.24% 1-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.89% Total : 25.9% |