/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fauxlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Flenlog_2.png)
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M'Baye Niang
71'
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Alexis Claude-Maurice
19'
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Alexis Claude-Maurice
48'
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Lois Openda
78'
Auxerre vs Lens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F07%2Fnantes.jpg)
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F21%2Frc-lens.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 60.43%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.03%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result
Auxerre
16.52%
▼
(-0.60)
Draw
23.05%
▼
(-0.21)
Lens
60.43%
▲
(+0.81)
Both Teams to Score:
45.44%
▼
(-0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.11%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 2.5
52.88%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 3.5
25.5%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
74.49%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 4.5
11.68%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 4.5
88.32%
▲
(+0.07)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5
54.84%
▼
(-0.84)
Under 0.5
45.16%
▲
(+0.84)
Over 1.5
18.94%
▼
(-0.68)
Under 1.5
81.06%
▲
(+0.68)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5
82.86%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 0.5
17.14%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 1.5
52.63%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 1.5
47.37%
▼
(-0.43)
Score analysis
Auxerre
16.52%
Draw
23.04%
Lens
60.42%
Auxerre
1-0
@
6.15%
▼
(-0.12)
2-1 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.15)
2-0 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 16.52%
2-1 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.15)
2-0 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 16.52%
Draw
1-1
@
10.85%
▼
(-0.12)
0-0 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.04%
0-0 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.04%
Lens
0-1
@
13.65%
▲
(+0.17)
0-2 @ 12.03% ▲ (+0.25)
1-2 @ 9.57% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.20)
1-3 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.12)
1-4 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.05)
0-5 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 60.42%
0-2 @ 12.03% ▲ (+0.25)
1-2 @ 9.57% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.20)
1-3 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.12)
1-4 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.05)
0-5 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 60.42%
