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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
AJ Auxerre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Lens logo
Auxerre
1 - 3
Lens
Niang (71')
Jubal (27')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Claude-Maurice (19', 48'), Openda (78')
Abdul Samed (6'), Haidara (69'), Gradit (83')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Auxerre
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Auxerre 1-1 Lens

With second place now assured and nothing significant left to fight for, it would only be natural for Lens to take their foot off the gas a tad, and any complacency should no doubt be capitalised on by an Auxerre side fighting for their lives. Haise's side have often flattered to deceive on the road as well, and while we can envisage a fired-up Auxerre gleaning a point on the final day, such an outcome could still drop them below the dotted line depending on results in Brittany. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 60.43%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 16.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.03%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawLens
16.52% (-0.597 -0.6) 23.05% (-0.207 -0.21) 60.43% (0.8 0.8)
Both teams to score 45.44% (-0.562 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.11% (-0.123 -0.12)52.88% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.5% (-0.105 -0.11)74.49% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.84% (-0.84 -0.84)45.16% (0.83499999999999 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.94% (-0.676 -0.68)81.06% (0.672 0.67)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.86% (0.23699999999999 0.24)17.14% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.63% (0.419 0.42)47.37% (-0.424 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 16.52%
    Lens 60.42%
    Draw 23.04%
AuxerreDrawLens
1-0 @ 6.15% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-1 @ 4.31% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-0 @ 2.45% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 1.14% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.01% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 16.52%
1-1 @ 10.85% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.04%
0-1 @ 13.65% (0.17 0.17)
0-2 @ 12.03% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 7.08% (0.199 0.2)
1-3 @ 5.63% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-4 @ 3.12% (0.112 0.11)
1-4 @ 2.48% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.1% (0.048 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 60.42%

How you voted: Auxerre vs Lens

Auxerre
20.8%
Draw
26.4%
Lens
52.8%
53
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 4pm
gameweek 19
Lens
1-0
Auxerre
Frankowski (59' pen.)
Mar 14, 2020 2pm
gameweek 29
Auxerre
P-P
Lens
Oct 21, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 11
Lens
0-0
Auxerre

Cahuzac (56')

Barreto (50'), Yattara (54')
Mar 9, 2019 2pm
gameweek 28
Lens
2-0
Auxerre
Gomis (37' pen.), Kyei (78')
Fortes (84'), Haidara (88')

Bellugou (36'), Arcus (45'), Mancini (72')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
FT
Chiefs
19-27
Packers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14103136112533
2Nice14851145929
3MonacoMonaco1483329191027
4Lille147521911826
5Reims147252019123
6Lens146441915422
7Brest136341714321
8NantesNantes145361823-518
9Marseille134541514117
10Le HavreLe Havre143741215-316
11Metz144461522-716
12Rennes143651919015
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier143561720-313
14Toulouse142751418-413
15StrasbourgStrasbourg133461118-713
16Lorient142661825-712
17Clermont14248921-1210
18Lyon131481124-137

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