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Ligue 1

Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 36
May 21, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Lens logo

Lorient
1 - 3
Lens

Faivre (6')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sotoca (20'), Thomasson (25'), Fofana (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Lorient
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Reims
Friday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 17.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.67%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawLens
17.96% (0.016999999999999 0.02)24.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.22% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.36% (0.009999999999998 0.01)54.64% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)75.97% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.61% (0.027999999999999 0.03)44.39% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.56% (0.021000000000001 0.02)80.44% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.32% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.68% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.98% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)50.01% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 17.96%
    Lens 57.97%
    Draw 24.07%
LorientDrawLens
1-0 @ 6.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 4.59% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 2.74% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 17.96%
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-2 @ 3.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 13.91%
0-2 @ 11.67%
1-2 @ 9.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 6.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 5.3%
0-4 @ 2.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-5 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 57.97%

How you voted: Lorient vs Lens

Lorient
24.1%
Draw
0.0%
Lens
75.9%
29
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Lorient
1-1
Lens
 Lens win 4-2 on penalties
Le Fee (84')
Fulgini (21')
Poreba (50'), Boura (60'), Onana (82')
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
gameweek 5
Lens
5-2
Lorient
Sotoca (24', 77'), Said (28'), Abdul Samed (57'), Openda (86')
Gradit (63')
Moffi (41', 50')
Ouattara (58'), Abergel (60'), Moffi (64')
Feb 6, 2022 12pm
gameweek 23
Lorient
2-0
Lens
Soumano (43'), Kone (76')

Wooh (45+1'), Haidara (79'), Frankowski (87')
Cahuzac (77')
Aug 29, 2021 2pm
gameweek 4
Lens
2-2
Lorient
Clauss (24'), Fofana (70')
Danso (18'), Medina (75')
Lauriente (27'), Monconduit (35')
Abergel (6'), Fontaine (12'), Silva (23'), Nardi (59')
Apr 11, 2021 2pm
gameweek 32
Lens
4-1
Lorient
Kakuta (16' pen.), Jean (39'), Kalimuendo (55'), Banza (88' pen.)
Moffi (29')
rhs 2.0


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