/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Florilog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Flenlog_2.png)
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Romain Faivre
6'
-
Florian Sotoca
20'
-
Adrien Thomasson
25'
-
Seko Fofana
87'
Lorient vs Lens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F18%2Florient.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.67%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result
Lorient
17.96%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
24.07%
▲
(+0.01)
Lens
57.97%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
45.22%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.36%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
54.64%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
24.03%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
75.97%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
10.75%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
89.25%
▼
(-0.01)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5
55.61%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
44.39%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
19.56%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
80.44%
▼
(-0.02)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5
81.32%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
18.68%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
49.98%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
50.01%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Lorient
17.96%
Draw
24.07%
Lens
57.97%
Lorient
1-0
@
6.73%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 17.96%
2-1 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 17.96%
Draw
1-1
@
11.29%
0-0 @ 8.29% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 24.07%
0-0 @ 8.29% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 24.07%
Lens
0-1
@
13.91%
0-2 @ 11.67%
1-2 @ 9.48% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.3%
0-4 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 57.97%
0-2 @ 11.67%
1-2 @ 9.48% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.3%
0-4 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 57.97%
Yannick Cahuzac
77'