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Ligue 1

Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 35
May 14, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Lorient logo

Montpellier
1 - 1
Lorient

Maouassa (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Faivre (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Lyon 5-4 Montpellier
Sunday, May 7 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Lorient

All competitions
Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Brest
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLorient
51.39% (-0.073 -0.07)22.98% (0.016999999999999 0.02)25.63% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 59.11% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.62% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)41.38% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.22% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)63.78% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.79% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)16.21% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.3% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)45.7% (0.067 0.07)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (0.027000000000001 0.03)29.45% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (0.034999999999997 0.03)65.46% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 51.39%
    Lorient 25.63%
    Draw 22.97%
Montpellier HSCDrawLorient
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 51.39%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.83% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 25.63%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Lorient

Montpellier HSC
83.3%
Draw
5.6%
Lorient
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 4pm
gameweek 16
Lorient
0-2
Montpellier

Le Fee (7')
Savanier (3'), Wahi (22')
Feb 20, 2022 2pm
gameweek 25
Lorient
0-1
Montpellier

Laporte (31'), Innocent (47')
Savanier (56')
Oyongo (60'), Souquet (61')
Aug 22, 2021 2pm
gameweek 3
Montpellier
3-1
Lorient
Savanier (50'), Mavididi (58'), Delort (83')
Bertaud (21' og.)
Lemoine (49'), Monconduit (67'), Mendes (84'), Hergault (87')
Mendes (86'), Hergault (90+1')
Mar 3, 2021 8pm
gameweek 28
Montpellier
1-1
Lorient
Mavididi (28')
Ferri (61'), Mendes (70')
Grbic (9' pen.)
Lemoine (36'), Chalobah (63'), Gravillon (87')
Nov 29, 2020 2pm
gameweek 12
Lorient
0-1
Montpellier

Laporte (49'), Le Fee (52')
Skuletic (79')
Savanier (90')