Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lorient |
51.39% (![]() | 22.98% (![]() | 25.63% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.11% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.62% (![]() | 41.38% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.22% (![]() | 63.78% (![]() |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.79% (![]() | 16.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.3% (![]() | 45.7% (![]() |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.54% (![]() | 29.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.54% (![]() | 65.46% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lorient |
2-1 @ 9.66% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.69% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.9% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.86% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.79% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 3.45% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 10.61% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.77% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.46% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 6.49% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() Other @ 3.24% Total : 25.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 36 | 11 | 25 | 33 |
2 | Nice | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Reims | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 23 |
6 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Brest | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 21 |
8 | NantesNantes | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 18 |
9 | Marseille | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Metz | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 13 |
14 | Toulouse | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 13 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
16 | Lorient | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
17 | Clermont | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 10 |
18 | Lyon | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |