Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 65.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
65.25% ( 0) | 19.18% ( -0) | 15.58% |
Both teams to score 55.81% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62% ( 0) | 38% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.73% ( 0) | 60.27% ( -0) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.08% ( 0) | 10.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.89% ( 0) | 35.11% ( -0) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.66% ( 0) | 37.34% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.87% ( 0) | 74.13% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.85% 1-0 @ 9.03% 3-0 @ 7.38% 3-1 @ 7.27% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.09% 4-1 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 3.58% 4-2 @ 1.98% 5-0 @ 1.81% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 4.45% Total : 65.25% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.85% 0-0 @ 4.08% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.18% | 1-2 @ 4.38% 0-1 @ 4.02% 0-2 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.59% 1-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.17% Total : 15.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 29 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 26 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
7 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 23 |
8 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Auxerre | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Reims | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | NantesNantes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |