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Ligue 1

Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
Apr 23, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Rennes

Montpellier
1 - 0
Rennes

Mavididi (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Montpellier
Sunday, April 16 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Rennes

All competitions
Last Game: Rennes 3-0 Reims
Saturday, April 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawRennes
31.36% (-0.394 -0.39)24.23% (-0.262 -0.26)44.41% (0.656 0.66)
Both teams to score 59.04% (0.733 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.63% (1.04 1.04)43.37% (-1.039 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.23% (1.016 1.02)65.77% (-1.014 -1.01)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (0.262 0.26)26.48% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.33% (0.344 0.34)61.67% (-0.342 -0.34)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (0.71600000000001 0.72)19.7% (-0.715 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.3% (1.148 1.15)51.71% (-1.147 -1.15)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 31.36%
    Rennes 44.41%
    Draw 24.23%
Montpellier HSCDrawRennes
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.93% (-0.268 -0.27)
2-0 @ 4.61% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 31.36%
1-1 @ 11.26% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.083 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.22% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 9.15% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 8.48% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-2 @ 6.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.95% (0.139 0.14)
0-3 @ 3.73% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.116 0.12)
1-4 @ 2.01% (0.1 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.51% (0.064 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 44.41%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Rennes

Montpellier HSC
21.1%
Draw
7.9%
Rennes
71.1%
38
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 2pm
gameweek 13
Rennes
3-0
Montpellier
Terrier (15'), Kalimuendo (23'), Gouiri (85')

Cozza (23')
Feb 25, 2022 8pm
gameweek 26
Montpellier
2-4
Rennes
Oyongo (19'), Wahi (41')
Savanier (26'), Germain (74'), Oyongo (85')
Terrier (8'), Bourigeaud (15'), Laborde (52' pen.), Majer (84')
Traore (28'), Omari (70')
Nov 20, 2021 8pm
gameweek 14
Rennes
2-0
Montpellier
Terrier (8'), Majer (28')
Tait (86')

Savanier (3'), Mollet (6')
Savanier (41')
Feb 21, 2021 12pm
gameweek 26
Montpellier
2-1
Rennes
Mavididi (17', 27')
Savanier (23')
Guirassy (78')
Da Silva (64'), Maouassa (89')
Aug 29, 2020 4pm
gameweek 2
Rennes
2-1
Montpellier
Le Tallec (22' og.), Camavinga (77')
N'Kemboanza Mike Christopher Nzonzi (53'), Da Silva (56'), Bourigeaud (71')
Terrier (73')
Laborde (90+1')
Savanier (45+1'), Ristic (60'), Ferri (68')
Mollet (43')