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Ligue 1

Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 16, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Montpellier

Lille
2 - 1
Montpellier

David (70'), Cabella (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sylla (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Last Game: Angers 1-0 Lille
Saturday, April 8 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 Toulouse
Sunday, April 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 68.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 13.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
LilleDrawMontpellier HSC
68.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)18.63% (0.0020000000000024 0)13.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Both teams to score 51.29% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.23% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)40.77% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.84% (0.0049999999999955 0)63.16% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.05%10.95% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.83% (0.0010000000000048 0)35.17%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.6% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)42.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)78.78% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lille 68.16%
    Montpellier HSC 13.2%
    Draw 18.63%
LilleDrawMontpellier HSC
2-0 @ 11.35%
1-0 @ 10.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.74%
3-0 @ 8.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 4.63%
4-1 @ 3.97%
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.05%
5-1 @ 1.76%
4-2 @ 1.7%
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 68.16%
1-1 @ 8.81%
0-0 @ 4.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.18% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 18.63%
0-1 @ 3.98%
1-2 @ 3.78%
0-2 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.2%
1-3 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 13.2%

How you voted: Lille vs Montpellier

Lille
76.3%
Draw
2.6%
Montpellier HSC
21.1%
38
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 12pm
Montpellier
1-3
Lille
Wahi (20')
David (41', 90+4'), Gomes (57')
Djalo (16')
Feb 12, 2022 4pm
Montpellier
0-1
Lille

Ferri (46'), Savanier (83'), Germain (87')
Xeka (77')
Andre (18'), Gomes (22'), Celik (45'), Xeka (64')
Aug 29, 2021 4pm
Lille
2-1
Montpellier
Yazici (45+1'), David (57')
Fonte (25'), Andre (33'), Xeka (43')
Laborde (45+3')
Sambia (24'), Ferri (25'), Laborde (34'), Savanier (56'), Chotard (59'), Mollet (70')
Sambia (73')
Apr 16, 2021 8pm
Lille
1-1
Montpellier
Araujo (85')
Andre (30'), Celik (43'), Mandava (81')
Delort (21')
Mollet (14')
Dec 23, 2020 8pm
Montpellier
2-3
Lille
Laborde (57'), Delort (70')
Der Zakarian (21'), Sambia (50'), Ristic (66'), Ferri (87')
Der Zakarian (90')
Weah (23'), Ikone (68' pen.), Yilmaz (86')
Andre (17'), Xeka (77')