Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

Apr 30, 2023 at 4.05pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
1 - 3
Lorient

Mbappe (29')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Le Fee (15'), Yongwa (39'), Dieng (88')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Last Game: Angers 1-2 PSG
Friday, April 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 0-1 Toulouse
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 81.72%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 7.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.75%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lorient
81.72% ( -0)	11.19% ( 0.01)	7.09% ( -0)

Both teams to score 57.26% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

77.85% (

-0.06)

22.15% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

58.89% (

-0.08)

41.1% (

0.08)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.96% (

-0.01)

4.04% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.99% (

-0.04)

17.01% (

0.04)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.67% (

-0.07)

40.33% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.04% (

-0.06)

76.95% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 81.72%

Lorient 7.09%

Draw 11.19%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lorient
3-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 8.15% 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 4.62% 5-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 2.47% ( -0) 6-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) 7-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) 6-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 4.35% Total : 81.72%	1-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 11.19%	1-2 @ 2.16% 0-1 @ 1.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 7.09%