Ligue 1
Gameweek
34
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-
Alexandre Lacazette
31'
-
Alexandre Lacazette
59'
-
Dejan Lovren
70'
-
Alexandre Lacazette
82'
-
Alexandre Lacazette
90'+10'
-
Elye Wahi
40'
-
Elye Wahi
41'
-
Elye Wahi
53'
-
Elye Wahi
55'
Lyon vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result
Lyon
62.58%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
20.26%
▼
(-0.02)
Montpellier HSC
17.15%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
55.56%
▲
(+0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.94%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
40.05%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 3.5
37.57%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
62.42%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 4.5
20.23%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 4.5
79.77%
▼
(-0.07)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5
87.75%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
12.24%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
62.04%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
37.96%
▼
(-0.07)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5
63.31%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
36.69%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
26.52%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
73.48%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
Lyon
62.58%
Draw
20.26%
Montpellier HSC
17.15%
Lyon
2-1
@
9.93%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.91% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 62.58%
2-0 @ 9.91% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 62.58%
Draw
1-1
@
9.46%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.26%
2-2 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.26%
Montpellier HSC
1-2
@
4.74%
0-1 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 17.15%
0-1 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 17.15%
Head to Head
Ligue 1
Gameweek
12
-
Elye Wahi
70'
-
Houssem Aouar
33'
-
Alexandre Lacazette
90'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
34
-
Moussa Dembele
26'
-
Thiago Mendes
43'
-
Houssem Aouar
63'
-
Karl Toko Ekambi
68'
-
Jerome Boateng
75'
-
Malo Gusto
89'
-
Houssem Aouar
90'+1'
-
Ambroise Oyongo
28'
-
Nicolas Cozza
42'
-
Elye Wahi
45'+1'
-
Teji Savanier
45'+3'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
15
-
Jordan Ferri
68'
-
Lucas Paqueta
17'
-
Islam Slimani
29'
-
Maxence Caqueret
40'
-
Jerome Boateng
45'
-
Emerson Palmieri
67'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
25
-
Lucas Paqueta
45'+1'
-
Teji Savanier
20'
-
Mihailo Ristic
49'
-
Elye Wahi
65'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
1
-
Andy Delort
7'
-
Teji Savanier
38'
-
Teji Savanier
59'
-
Jordan Ferri
62'
-
Hilton
71'
-
Hilton
81'
-
Bruno Guimaraes
36'
-
Houssem Aouar
44'
-
Karl Toko Ekambi
45'+2'
-
Memphis Depay
82'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
36