Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
May 7, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Lyon5 - 4Montpellier
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 Lyon
Friday, April 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Friday, April 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 0-4 Montpellier
Sunday, April 30 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, April 30 at 12pm in Ligue 1
We said: Lyon 2-1 Montpellier HSC
Even with creator-in-chief Savanier helplessly watching on, Montpellier tore Monaco to shreds last weekend and can expect similar joy in front of goal against a leaky and depleted Lyon backline. A change in shape from Lyon will benefit their attacking endeavours, but with both Khazri and Savanier unavailable for the visitors, a Montpellier side lacking a creative force may just fall short at the Groupama Stadium this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
62.58% ( 0.02) | 20.26% ( -0.02) | 17.15% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
