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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
May 7, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Montpellier
Lyon
5 - 4
Montpellier
Lacazette (31', 59', 82', 90+10' pen.), Lovren (70')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Wahi (40', 41', 53' pen., 55')
Wahi (54'), Sacko (89'), Jullien (90+8'), Der Zakarian (90+8')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 Lyon
Friday, April 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 0-4 Montpellier
Sunday, April 30 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 2-1 Montpellier HSC

Even with creator-in-chief Savanier helplessly watching on, Montpellier tore Monaco to shreds last weekend and can expect similar joy in front of goal against a leaky and depleted Lyon backline. A change in shape from Lyon will benefit their attacking endeavours, but with both Khazri and Savanier unavailable for the visitors, a Montpellier side lacking a creative force may just fall short at the Groupama Stadium this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawMontpellier HSC
62.58% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 20.26% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 17.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 55.56% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.94% (0.082000000000001 0.08)40.05% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.57% (0.085000000000001 0.09)62.42% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.75% (0.031999999999996 0.03)12.24% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.04% (0.064999999999998 0.06)37.96% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31% (0.046999999999997 0.05)36.69% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.52% (0.048999999999999 0.05)73.48% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 62.58%
    Montpellier HSC 17.15%
    Draw 20.26%
LyonDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.91% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.95% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.65% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.53% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 62.58%
1-1 @ 9.46% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.26%
1-2 @ 4.74%
0-1 @ 4.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 17.15%

How you voted: Lyon vs Montpellier

Lyon
70.8%
Draw
25.0%
Montpellier HSC
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 4pm
gameweek 12
Montpellier
1-2
Lyon
Wahi (70')
Aouar (33'), Lacazette (90')
Aouar (7')
Apr 23, 2022 4pm
gameweek 34
Lyon
5-2
Montpellier
Dembele (26'), Mendes (43'), Aouar (63', 90+1'), Toko Ekambi (68')
Boateng (75'), Gusto (89')
Wahi (45+1'), Savanier (45+3' pen.)
Oyongo (28'), Cozza (42')
Nov 28, 2021 4pm
gameweek 15
Montpellier
0-1
Lyon

Ferri (68')
Paqueta (17')
Slimani (29'), Caqueret (40'), Boateng (45'), Palmieri (67')
Feb 13, 2021 8pm
gameweek 25
Lyon
1-2
Montpellier
Paqueta (45+1')
Savanier (20'), Wahi (65')
Ristic (49')
Sep 15, 2020 8pm
gameweek 1
Montpellier
2-1
Lyon
Savanier (38' pen., 59')
Delort (7'), Ferri (62'), Hilton (71')
Hilton (81')
Depay (82' pen.)
Guimaraes (36'), Toko Ekambi (45+2')
Aouar (44')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14103136112533
2Nice14851145929
3MonacoMonaco1483329191027
4Lille147521911826
5Reims147252019123
6Lens146441915422
7Brest136341714321
8NantesNantes145361823-518
9Marseille134541514117
10Le HavreLe Havre143741215-316
11Metz144461522-716
12Rennes143651919015
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier143561720-313
14Toulouse142751418-413
15StrasbourgStrasbourg133461118-713
16Lorient142661825-712
17Clermont14248921-1210
18Lyon131481124-137

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