Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34

May 7, 2023 at 4.05pm UK

Stade de Gerland

Lyon
5 - 4
Montpellier

Lacazette (31', 59', 82', 90+10' pen.), Lovren (70')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Wahi (40', 41', 53' pen., 55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 Lyon
Friday, April 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Monaco 0-4 Montpellier
Sunday, April 30 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Montpellier HSC
62.58% ( 0.02)	20.26% ( -0.02)	17.15% ( -0)

Both teams to score 55.56% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.94% (

0.08)

40.05% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.57% (

0.09)

62.42% (

-0.08)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.75% (

0.03)

12.24% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.04% (

0.06)

37.96% (

-0.06)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.31% (

0.05)

36.69% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.52% (

0.05)

73.48% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Lyon 62.58%

Montpellier HSC 17.15%

Draw 20.26%

Lyon	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 3.75% Total : 62.58%	1-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.26%	1-2 @ 4.74% 0-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 17.15%