Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Lyon |
| 33.86% ( | 25.68% ( | 40.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.9% ( | 49.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.83% ( | 71.17% ( |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% ( | 27.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.74% ( | 63.26% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76% ( | 24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.75% ( | 58.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 8.53% 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 2-0 @ 5.48% ( 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 4-1 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.88% Total : 33.86% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( 1-2 @ 8.69% ( 0-2 @ 6.77% ( 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0-3 @ 3.22% ( 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 2-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.45% |