Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Lyon |
33.86% ( 0.05) | 25.68% ( -0.01) | 40.45% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.95% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.9% ( 0.04) | 49.1% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.83% ( 0.03) | 71.17% ( -0.03) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.3% ( 0.05) | 27.7% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.74% ( 0.06) | 63.26% ( -0.06) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76% ( -0) | 24% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.75% ( -0.01) | 58.25% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 8.53% 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 33.86% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 29 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 26 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
7 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 23 |
8 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Auxerre | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Reims | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | NantesNantes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |