Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Ajaccio |
56.71% (![]() | 24.56% (![]() | 18.73% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.15% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.56% (![]() | 55.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.37% (![]() | 76.63% (![]() |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.54% (![]() | 19.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.69% (![]() | 51.31% (![]() |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.06% (![]() | 43.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.92% (![]() | 80.08% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Ajaccio |
1-0 @ 13.99% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.45% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.42% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.67% Total : 56.7% | 1-1 @ 11.5% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.55% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.87% ( ![]() Other @ 0.63% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.03% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.73% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 1.72% Total : 18.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 36 | 11 | 25 | 33 |
2 | Nice | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Reims | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 23 |
6 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Brest | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 21 |
8 | NantesNantes | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 18 |
9 | Marseille | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Metz | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 13 |
14 | Toulouse | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 13 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
16 | Lorient | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
17 | Clermont | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 10 |
18 | Lyon | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |