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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 16, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
AC Ajaccio
Strasbourg
3 - 1
Ajaccio
Gameiro (26' pen.), Diarra (71'), Suzuki (89')
Prcic (79'), Diarra (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Barreto (76')
El Idrissy (34'), Coutadeur (63'), Avinel (70'), Diallo (83'), Kone (90+3')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Strasbourg
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-3 Auxerre
Sunday, April 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Strasbourg 1-0 Ajaccio

Strasbourg return to familiar territory following two difficult away assignments, and you feel Antonetti's men will be targeting Sunday's fixture as a must win in their quest for survival. Ajaccio simply need to earn a win this weekend to avoid an even greater challenge of climbing out of the relegation zone, but we believe they will suffer their sixth-straight defeat in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 18.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
StrasbourgDrawAjaccio
56.71% (0.112 0.11) 24.56% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 18.73% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 45.15% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.56% (0.145 0.15)55.44% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.37% (0.118 0.12)76.63% (-0.117 -0.12)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54% (0.099000000000004 0.1)19.46% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.69% (0.16099999999999 0.16)51.31% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.06% (0.024000000000001 0.02)43.95% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.92% (0.018999999999998 0.02)80.08% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 56.7%
    Ajaccio 18.73%
    Draw 24.56%
StrasbourgDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 13.99% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 11.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.25% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 56.7%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 18.73%

How you voted: Strasbourg vs Ajaccio

Strasbourg
68.8%
Draw
18.8%
Ajaccio
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 4pm
Ajaccio
4-2
Strasbourg
Belaili (33' pen., 40' pen.), El Idrissy (34'), Nouri (45+2')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
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Jags
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14103136112533
2Nice14851145929
3MonacoMonaco1483329191027
4Lille147521911826
5Reims147252019123
6Lens146441915422
7Brest136341714321
8NantesNantes145361823-518
9Marseille134541514117
10Le HavreLe Havre143741215-316
11Metz144461522-716
12Rennes143651919015
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier143561720-313
14Toulouse142751418-413
15StrasbourgStrasbourg133461118-713
16Lorient142661825-712
17Clermont14248921-1210
18Lyon131481124-137

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