Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31

Apr 16, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg
3 - 1
Ajaccio

Gameiro (26' pen.), Diarra (71'), Suzuki (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Barreto (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Strasbourg
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajaccio

All competitions

Last Game: Ajaccio 0-3 Auxerre
Sunday, April 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 18.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Ajaccio
56.71% ( 0.11)	24.56% ( -0.06)	18.73% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 45.15% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.56% (

0.15)

55.44% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.37% (

0.12)

76.63% (

-0.12)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.54% (

0.1)

19.46% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.69% (

0.16)

51.31% (

-0.16)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.06% (

0.02)

43.95% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.92% (

0.02)

80.08% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 56.7%

Ajaccio 18.73%

Draw 24.56%

Strasbourg	Draw	Ajaccio
1-0 @ 13.99% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.67% Total : 56.7%	1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 24.56%	0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 18.73%