Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Ajaccio |
| 37.11% | 28.51% | 34.38% |
| Both teams to score 46.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.82% | 60.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.63% | 80.37% |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.86% | 31.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.53% | 67.47% |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.1% | 32.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.52% | 69.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Ajaccio |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 6.97% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 3.03% Total : 37.11% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.24% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.5% | 0-1 @ 11.38% 1-2 @ 7.39% 0-2 @ 6.33% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.37% |