Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Ajaccio |
37.11% | 28.51% | 34.38% |
Both teams to score 46.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.82% | 60.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.63% | 80.37% |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.86% | 31.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.53% | 67.47% |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.1% | 32.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.52% | 69.47% |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Ajaccio |
1-0 @ 11.95% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 6.97% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 3.03% Total : 37.11% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.24% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.5% | 0-1 @ 11.38% 1-2 @ 7.39% 0-2 @ 6.33% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |