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Ligue 1

AC Ajaccio
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 9, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
AJ Auxerre

Ajaccio
0 - 3
Auxerre

FT(HT: 0-3)
Toure (3'), da Costa (6'), Alphonse (45+2' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Ajaccio
Sunday, April 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Auxerre

All competitions
Last Game: Auxerre 1-0 Troyes
Saturday, April 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawAuxerre
34.31% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)27.12% (-0.012 -0.01)38.57% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.37% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.02% (0.039000000000001 0.04)54.97% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.75% (0.030999999999999 0.03)76.25% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.52% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)66.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (0.033000000000001 0.03)27.72% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.71% (0.046000000000006 0.05)63.29% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 34.31%
    Auxerre 38.56%
    Draw 27.11%
AjaccioDrawAuxerre
1-0 @ 10.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.99% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.06%
3-0 @ 2.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 34.31%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.4% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.11%
0-1 @ 10.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 38.56%

How you voted: Ajaccio vs Auxerre

Ajaccio
17.5%
Draw
35.0%
Auxerre
47.5%
40
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 12pm
Auxerre
1-0
Ajaccio
Sakhi (8')
Jubal (23')
Jan 28, 2022 6pm
Ajaccio
0-0
Auxerre

Vidal (48'), Marchetti (60')
Marchetti (70')

Joly (30'), Leon (35'), Jubal (72')
Aug 7, 2021 6pm
Auxerre
0-0
Ajaccio

Toure (60'), Sinayoko (68'), Hein (90+7')

Youssouf (40'), Botue (78'), Gonzalez (83'), Courtet (90')
Feb 5, 2021 7pm
Ajaccio
0-0
Auxerre

Bayala (50'), Youssouf (90+5')

Lloris (6')
Lloris (84')
Oct 3, 2020 6pm
Auxerre
5-1
Ajaccio
Le Bihan (7', 37'), Dugimont (23' pen., 41'), Fortune (84' pen.)
Toure (33'), Arcus (80')
Elisor (30')
Moussiti-Oko (14')