Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28

Mar 3, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
1 - 1
Lorient

Mavididi (28')
Ferri (61'), Mendes (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Grbic (9' pen.)
Lemoine (36'), Chalobah (63'), Gravillon (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lorient
47.23%	25.19%	27.58%

Both teams to score 53.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.36%

49.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.34%

71.66%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.96%

21.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.16%

53.84%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.69%

32.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.19%

68.81%

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 47.22%

Lorient 27.58%

Draw 25.19%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 9.33% 2-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 4.85% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.54% Total : 47.22%	1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 7.68% 1-2 @ 6.76% 0-2 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.63% Total : 27.58%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Lorient

Montpellier HSC

90.0%

Draw

5.0%

Lorient