Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
May 7, 2023 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ibrahima Kone 32' goal
  • Ibrahima Kone 51' goal
  • goal Romain Del Castillo 69'

Lorient vs Brest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
Apr 30, 2023 4.05pm
PSG 1 - 3 Lorient
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Terem Moffi

Brest

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2023 8.00pm
Brest 2 - 0 Nantes
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Jeremy Le Douaron

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Brest had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result

Lorient 38.5% (+0.35)
Draw 27.98% (-0.03)
Brest 33.52% (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.64% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.66% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 58.35% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 21.04% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 78.96% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 8.94% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 91.06% (-0.03)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5 70.62% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 29.38% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 34.63% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 65.37% (-0.29)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5 67.47% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 32.53% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 30.93% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 69.07% (+0.22)

Score analysis

Lorient 38.5%
Draw 27.97%
Brest 33.51%
Lorient
1-0 @ 11.7% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.05% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.17% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.29% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.93% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.85% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-97.80)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 38.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.56% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.52% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.97%
Brest
0-1 @ 10.73% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 6.03% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 33.51%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2022 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Romain Del Castillo 17' goal
  • goal Terem Moffi 24'
  • goal Terem Moffi 53'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Feb 27, 2022 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Brendan Chardonnet 29' redcard
  • Martin Satriano 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Lucien Agoume 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bonke Innocent 43'
  • yellowcard Armand Lauriente 45'
  • yellowcard Houboulang Mendes 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Laurent Abergel 65'
  • goal Ibrahima Kone 73'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Nov 7, 2021 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Adrian Grbic 5' goal
  • Jerome Hergault 28' redcard
  • Igor Silva 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franck Honorat 44'
  • goal Romain Faivre 58'
  • goal Steve Mounie 80'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 31
Apr 4, 2021 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Laurent Abergel 20' yellowcard
  • Laurent Abergel 45' goal
  • Thomas Monconduit 78' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Yves Hamel 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steve Mounie 52'
  • yellowcard Lilian Brassier 85'
  • redcard Haris Belkebla 90'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Sep 20, 2020 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Haris Belkebla 4' yellowcard
  • Romain Perraud 30' goal
  • Steve Mounie 32' goal
  • Franck Honorat 62' goal
  • Hiang'a Mbock 73' yellowcard
  • goal Christophe Herelle 34' (OG)
  • yellowcard Pierre-Yves Hamel 85'
  • goal Thomas Monconduit 90'+1'
Coupe de France
Jan 5, 2020 1.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
ET Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • Sylvain Marveaux 22' goal
  • Yoane Wissa 112' goal
  • goal Gaetan Charbonnier 36'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Diallo 90'+1'