Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34

May 7, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient
2 - 1
Brest

Kone (32', 51')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Del Castillo (69' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: PSG 1-3 Lorient
Sunday, April 30 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 2-0 Nantes
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Brest had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Brest
38.5% ( 0.35)	27.98% ( -0.03)	33.52% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 47.64% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.66% (

0.05)

58.35% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.04% (

0.04)

78.96% (

-0.04)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.62% (

0.23)

29.38% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.63% (

0.28)

65.37% (

-0.28)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.47% (

-0.19)

32.53% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.93% (

-0.21)

69.07% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Lorient 38.5%

Brest 33.51%

Draw 27.97%

Lorient	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 38.5%	1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.97%	0-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.51%