Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
Apr 23, 2023 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT

Ajaccio vs Brest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last game
Apr 16, 2023 2.00pm
Strasbourg 3 - 1 Ajaccio
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Mounaim El Idrissy

Brest

All competitions
Last game
Apr 16, 2023 2.00pm
Brest 1 - 0 Nice
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Jeremy Le Douaron

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result

Ajaccio 33.34% (-0.19)
Draw 28.89% (-0.06)
Brest 37.76% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

45% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.41% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 61.59% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 18.56% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 81.43% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 7.52% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 92.47% (-0.08)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5 65.64% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 34.35% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 28.94% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 71.05% (+0.04)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5 68.55% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 31.44% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 32.17% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 67.82% (-0.27)

Score analysis

Ajaccio 33.33%
Draw 28.89%
Brest 37.76%
Ajaccio
1-0 @ 11.54% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.17% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.47% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 33.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.35% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.8% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.13% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.89%
Brest
0-1 @ 12.49%
1-2 @ 7.73% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 7.23% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.98% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.79% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.59% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 37.76%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2022 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Romain Hamouma 65'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 34
Apr 23, 2019 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade François Coty (Ajaccio)
  • yellowcard Baba Traore 36'
  • goal Cristian Battocchio 45'
  • goal Gaetan Charbonnier 63'
Ligue 2
Apr 22, 2019 1.00am
Stade François Coty (Ajaccio)
Ligue 2 Gameweek 16
Nov 30, 2018 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest)
  • Jean-Charles Castelletto 40' goal
  • Julien Faussurier 80' yellowcard
  • Kevin Mayi 90' goal
  • redcard Aliou Dembele 90'
Ligue 2
Nov 29, 2018 12.00am
Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest)
Ligue 2
Jan 12, 2018 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 3
FT Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest)
  • Edouard Butin 73' goal
  • Gaetan Charbonnier 78' goal
  • Gaetan Belaud 79' yellowcard
  • Lenny Pintor 90' yellowcard
  • goal Yoane Wissa 10'
  • goal Riad Nouri 26'
  • goal Ghislain Gimbert 37'
  • yellowcard Yoane Wissa 76'
  • yellowcard Yann Boe-Kane 80'
  • yellowcard Ghislain Gimbert 90'