Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for Brest had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.