Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31

Apr 16, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
1 - 0
Nice

Le Douaron (12')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 1-1 Brest
Sunday, April 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Basel 2-2 Nice
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for Brest had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Brest	Draw	Nice
26.75% ( -0.02)	24.92% ( -0.14)	48.33% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 53.66% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.94% (

0.56)

49.06% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.86% (

0.5)

71.14% (

-0.5)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.35% (

0.28)

32.65% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.81% (

0.32)

69.19% (

-0.31)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.67% (

0.29)

20.33% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.28% (

0.46)

52.72% (

-0.46)

Score Analysis

Brest 26.75%

Nice 48.32%

Draw 24.92%

Brest	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 26.75%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.92%	0-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.73% Total : 48.32%