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UEFA Conference League

Basel
Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Nice

Basel
2 - 2
Nice

Amdouni (26' pen., 71')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Moffi (38', 45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Basel and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: FC Zurich 1-1 Basel
Saturday, April 8 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Nice

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Nice 0-2 PSG
Saturday, April 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Basel had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BaselDrawNice
35.54%25.53%38.93%
Both teams to score 55.78% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.84%48.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68% (0.00099999999999767 0)70.32% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.64% (0.00099999999999767 0)61.36% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.37% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.22%58.78%
Score Analysis
    Basel 35.54%
    Nice 38.93%
    Draw 25.52%
BaselDrawNice
1-0 @ 8.56%
2-1 @ 8.08%
2-0 @ 5.72%
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 35.54%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 9.03%
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-2 @ 6.38%
1-3 @ 4.01%
0-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 1.42%
0-4 @ 1.06%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.93%

How you voted: Basel vs Nice

Basel
23.3%
Draw
29.3%
Nice
47.4%
116