Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 73.79%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Basel had a probability of 10.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 3-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.88%), while for a Basel win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.