Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 63.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Sion had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Sion win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.