Luzern
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 3
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
swissporarena
Basel

Luzern
0 - 2
Basel

FT(HT: 0-1)
Males (6' pen.), Fink (87')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Luzern and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luzern 1-1 Winterthur
Saturday, November 5 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Basel 0-0 Sion
Sunday, November 6 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Basel had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
LuzernDrawBasel
42.06% (0.669 0.67)24.7% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)33.24% (-0.601 -0.6)
Both teams to score 58.13% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.11% (0.153 0.15)44.89% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.75% (0.145 0.14)67.24% (-0.146 -0.15)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.61% (0.37899999999999 0.38)21.38% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.63% (0.581 0.58)54.37% (-0.584 -0.58)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.95% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)26.05% (0.285 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.9% (-0.387 -0.39)61.09% (0.384 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Luzern 42.06%
    Basel 33.24%
    Draw 24.69%
LuzernDrawBasel
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.074 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.094 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 42.06%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 5.57% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.69%
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-1 @ 7.49% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 33.24%

How you voted: Luzern vs Basel

Luzern
55.6%
Draw
0.0%
Basel
44.4%
9
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 3.30pm
Basel
3-0
Luzern
Stocker (3', 73'), Chalov (87')
Stocker (4'), Tavares (18')

Grether (51'), Sorgic (67')
Jan 30, 2022 3.30pm
Luzern
0-3
Basel

Cumic (21'), Muller (60'), Schulz (75'), Jasari (78')
Schulz (78')
Frei (49' pen., 90+7'), Males (85')
Palacios (31'), Katterbach (52'), Pelmard (66'), Burger (76'), Frei (90+5')
Nov 28, 2021 3.30pm
Luzern
1-3
Basel
Cumic (90+1')
Domgjoni (47'), Schurpf (78')
Arthur (3'), Petretta (49'), Palacios (58')
Quintilla (34'), Pelmard (36'), Lopez (54')
Oct 3, 2021 3.30pm
Basel
1-1
Luzern
Stocker (68')
Frei (64'), Comert (90')
Wehrmann (78')
Sorgic (34'), Schulz (66')
Apr 10, 2021 7.30pm
Luzern
3-4
Basel
Schaub (3', 83' pen.), N'Diaye (64')
Emini (22'), Borkai (90+2')
Males (14'), Zhegrova (18', 22'), Arthur (90+3')
Arthur (61'), Zuffi (68'), Frei (84'), Widmer (84')