Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Luzern win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.