Luzern
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Swissporarena
Lugano

Luzern
3 - 1
Lugano

Meyer (66' pen., 82'), Drager (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bislimi (61')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Luzern and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luzern

All competitions
Last Game: Luzern 3-3 St Gallen
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Lugano

All competitions
Last Game: Lugano 1-4 Young Boys
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.

Result
LuzernDrawLugano
41.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.09% (0.0010000000000012 0)34.02%
Both teams to score 60.55% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.17% (0.0039999999999978 0)41.82% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)64.23%
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (0.0040000000000049 0)20.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.54% (0.0039999999999978 0)52.46% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (0.0019999999999953 0)24.14% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.54% (0.00099999999999767 0)58.45% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Luzern 41.89%
    Lugano 34.02%
    Draw 24.08%
LuzernDrawLugano
2-1 @ 8.87%
1-0 @ 7.8%
2-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 4.73%
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.9% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 41.89%
1-1 @ 11.07%
2-2 @ 6.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 7.87%
0-1 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 34.02%

Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 3.30pm
Lugano
1-2
Luzern
Ziegler (75')
Celar (45+1')
Dorn (32'), Beloko (84')
Muller (45+1'), Emini (47'), Simani (74'), Frydek Jr (90+6')
Apr 3, 2022 1.15pm
Luzern
2-2
Lugano
Ugrinic (59'), Kvasina (86')
Simani (50'), Frydek Jr (53'), Wehrmann (83'), Tasar (90')
Celar (38', 56')
Celar (50'), Saipi (85'), Lavanchy (90+4')
Feb 6, 2022 3.30pm
Lugano
2-1
Luzern
Lavanchy (20'), Haile-Selassie (83')
Sabbatini (89')
Drager (45+1')
Cumic (14'), Drager (46')
Nov 21, 2021 3.30pm
Lugano
3-1
Luzern
Ziegler (4'), El Amine Amoura (35'), Maric (45+2' pen.)
Sabbatini (67')
Sorgic (10')
Muller (4'), N'Diaye (57'), Schulz (75')
Sep 26, 2021 1.15pm
Luzern
2-3
Lugano
Ugrinic (21'), Sorgic (72' pen.)
Ugrinic (30')
Abubakar (3'), Celar (35'), Bottani (45')
Bottani (28'), Lovric (39'), Hajrizi (63'), Daprela (71'), Lavanchy (87'), Osigwe (90')