Lugano
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Cornaredo Stadium
Young Boys

Lugano
1 - 4
Young Boys

Ziegler (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nsame (21'), Garcia (68'), Imeri (80'), Itten (90+5')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Young Boys.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Last Game: St Gallen 1-1 Lugano
Sunday, October 16 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

Young Boys

All competitions
Last Game: FC Zurich 0-0 Young Boys
Sunday, October 16 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 70.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 12.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Lugano win it was 2-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.

Result
LuganoDrawYoung Boys
12.44% (0.020999999999999 0.02)17.42% (0.041 0.04)70.13% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Both teams to score 53.41% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.11% (-0.14 -0.14)36.88% (0.133 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.94% (-0.151 -0.15)59.06% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.96% (-0.055 -0.05)41.04% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.41% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)77.59% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Young Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.58% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)9.41% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.34% (-0.12599999999999 -0.13)31.66% (0.118 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 12.44%
    Young Boys 70.13%
    Draw 17.42%
LuganoDrawYoung Boys
2-1 @ 3.62% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.44% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.53% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.27% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 12.44%
1-1 @ 8.13% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.86% (0.025 0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.42%
0-2 @ 10.78% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.13% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 8.5% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 7.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 5.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-5 @ 2.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-5 @ 0.94% (-0.007 -0.01)
0-6 @ 0.93% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 70.13%

How you voted: Lugano vs Young Boys

Lugano
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Young Boys
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 3.30pm
Young Boys
3-0
Lugano
Nsame (2', 63'), Itten (41' pen.)
Niasse (8')
May 7, 2022 5pm
Lugano
3-1
Young Boys
El Amine Amoura (49', 70'), Haile-Selassie (90+5')
Custodio (85')
Saipi (88')
Camara (46')
Kanga (20'), Garcia (68'), Niasse (69'), Camara (76')
Jan 29, 2022 7.30pm
Young Boys
1-0
Lugano
Fassnacht (72')
Lauper (12'), Martins Pereira (33'), Sierro (69')

Lovric (66')
Dec 19, 2021 1.15pm
Lugano
0-5
Young Boys

Daprela (44'), El Amine Amoura (45+1'), Sabbatini (48'), Custodio (70'), Phelipe (78')
Siebatcheu (6', 21', 49', 61'), Camara (35')
Zesiger (71')
Dec 1, 2021 7.30pm
Young Boys
3-1
Lugano
Siebatcheu (63' pen.), Kanga (81', 87')
Aebischer (45+1')
Lovric (27')
Hajrizi (45+1'), Monzialo (45+1'), Sabbatini (62')