Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 75.1%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 9.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-2 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.