Swiss Super League | Gameweek 5

Aug 14, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

St. Jakob-Park

Basel
0 - 2
Lugano

Xhaka (32')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Babic (90+1'), Mahmoud (90+4')
Arigoni (4'), Daprela (42'), Valenzuela (87'), Saipi (90+2')

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

Last Six:

Last Game: Basel 2-1 Brondby (3-1 pen.)
Thursday, August 11 at 6.15pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Lugano	4	0	3
8	Basel	3	0	3
9	FC Winterthur	4	-6	1

Lugano

Last Six:

Last Game: Be'er Sheva 3-1 Lugano
Thursday, August 11 at 6.15pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Luzern	4	-2	5
7	Lugano	4	0	3
8	Basel	3	0	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 1-0 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Basel	Draw	Lugano
61.39% ( 3.57)	20.07% ( -0.98)	18.54% ( -2.59)

Both teams to score 59.13% (

-1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.3% (

0.74)

36.7% (

-0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.14% (

0.8)

58.86% (

-0.8)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.45% (

1.23)

11.55% (

-1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.51% (

2.59)

36.48% (

-2.59)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.85% (

-2.09)

33.14% (

2.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.25% (

-2.38)

69.74% (

2.37)

Score Analysis

Basel 61.39%

Lugano 18.54%

Draw 20.07%

Basel	Draw	Lugano
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.52) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.66) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.36) 4-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.5) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.23) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.28) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.5% Total : 61.39%	1-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.07%	1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.55) 0-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.32) Other @ 3.08% Total : 18.54%